Colress's Experiment
Lost Origin · #205 · Rare Rainbow
Market value
$3.46▲ 1.8%30d
PSA 10 price
$35.63(+930%)
Price history
+0.0% since Sep 29, 2026
Sep 29, 2026Low $35.63 · High $35.63Oct 7, 2026
Series
Sword & Shield
Artist
Naoki Saito
Release date
2022/09/09
Expected value after grading
−$54.07(-74%)
What you'd make on average if you bought this card raw and graded it, using how often PSA-graded copies actually come back a 10, 9 or 8.
46% chance of PSA 10 × $35.63$16.25
37% chance of PSA 9 × $13.24$4.91
12% chance of PSA 8 × $8.00$0.94
6% PSA 7 or lower × $3.11 (90% of raw)$0.17
Expected sale value$22.28
Selling fees (~13%)−$2.90
Raw card−$3.46
Grading (PSA Standard)−$59.99
Shipping both ways−$10.00
Expected profit−$54.07
Pop reports count submitted cards, and people mostly submit their best copies, so the real odds for a random raw card are likely a bit lower.
Buy Signal · Population report
Strong Buy45.6% of PSA-graded copies come back a 10
PSA population
263
Graded PSA 10
120
Gem Rate
45.6%
| Grade | PSA |
|---|---|
| 10 | 120 |
| 9 | 97 |
| 8 | 31 |
| 7 | 11 |
| 6 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 |
| Total | 263 |
Grade 10 value
What a Grade 10 sells for, by grading company.
PSALeads$35.63
TAG$6.50
Price ladder
Every condition and grade Scrydex tracks for this card.
Raw
NM$3.46
LP$3.49
MP$3.24
HP$2.98
DM$3.00
Graded
PSA 10$35.63
PSA 9$13.24
CGC 9$10.99
PSA 7$10.50
PSA 8$8.00
TAG 10$6.50
CGC 9.5$5.50
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