Colress's Experiment
Lost Origin · #190 · Rare Ultra
Market value
$1.70▲ 11.8%30d
PSA 10 price
$32.56(+1815%)
Price history
+0.0% since Sep 29, 2026
Sep 29, 2026Low $32.56 · High $32.56Oct 7, 2026
Series
Sword & Shield
Artist
Naoki Saito
Release date
2022/09/09
Expected value after grading
−$54.11(-75%)
What you'd make on average if you bought this card raw and graded it, using how often PSA-graded copies actually come back a 10, 9 or 8.
49% chance of PSA 10 × $32.56$15.92
39% chance of PSA 9 × $9.52$3.72
10% chance of PSA 8 × $5.30$0.52
2% PSA 7 or lower × $1.53 (90% of raw)$0.03
Expected sale value$20.21
Selling fees (~13%)−$2.63
Raw card−$1.70
Grading (PSA Standard)−$59.99
Shipping both ways−$10.00
Expected profit−$54.11
Pop reports count submitted cards, and people mostly submit their best copies, so the real odds for a random raw card are likely a bit lower.
Buy Signal · Population report
Strong Buy49.2% of PSA-graded copies come back a 10
PSA population
297
Graded PSA 10
146
Gem Rate
49.2%
| Grade | PSA |
|---|---|
| 10 | 146 |
| 9 | 116 |
| 8 | 29 |
| 7 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 |
| Total | 297 |
Grade 10 value
What a Grade 10 sells for, by grading company.
PSALeads$32.56
CGC$9.61
Price ladder
Every condition and grade Scrydex tracks for this card.
Raw
NM$1.70
LP$1.55
MP$1.82
HP$1.25
DM$1.24
Graded
PSA 10$32.56
CGC 9$19.64
BGS 9$15.00
CGC 9.5$10.00
CGC 10$9.61
PSA 9$9.52
PSA 8$5.30
PSA 7$4.00
CGC 8.5$1.25
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