Dawn
Phantasmal Flames · #118 · Ultra Rare
Market value
$4.15▼ 26.7%30d
PSA 10 price
$40.21(+869%)
Price history
+3.0% since Sep 29, 2026
Sep 29, 2026Low $39.04 · High $43.66Oct 7, 2026
Series
Mega Evolution
Artist
Yuu Nishida
Release date
2025/11/14
Expected value after grading
−$46.64(-63%)
What you'd make on average if you bought this card raw and graded it, using how often PSA-graded copies actually come back a 10, 9 or 8.
62% chance of PSA 10 × $40.21$24.89
30% chance of PSA 9 × $19.49$5.87
6% chance of PSA 8 × $12.99$0.79
2% PSA 7 or lower × $3.74 (90% of raw)$0.07
Expected sale value$31.61
Selling fees (~13%)−$4.11
Raw card−$4.15
Grading (PSA Standard)−$59.99
Shipping both ways−$10.00
Expected profit−$46.64
▼ Volatile: the raw price moved -27% in the last 30 days. PSA Standard takes about 90–100 business days (roughly 4–5 months), so this pick is more sensitive to the price moving before the slab comes back.
Pop reports count submitted cards, and people mostly submit their best copies, so the real odds for a random raw card are likely a bit lower.
Buy Signal · Population report
Strong Buy61.9% of PSA-graded copies come back a 10
PSA population
4,723
Graded PSA 10
2,923
Gem Rate
61.9%
| Grade | PSA |
|---|---|
| 10 | 2,923 |
| 9 | 1,421 |
| 8 | 289 |
| 7 | 55 |
| 6 | 21 |
| 5 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 |
| Total | 4,723 |
Grade 10 value
What a Grade 10 sells for, by grading company.
BGSLeads$99.61
TAG$48.62
PSA$40.21
ACE$31.66
CGC$18.70
Price ladder
Every condition and grade Scrydex tracks for this card.
Raw
NM$4.15
LP$5.18
MP$6.59
HP$3.09
DM$5.07
Graded
BGS 10$99.61
TAG 10$48.62
PSA 10$40.21
ACE 10$31.66
ACE 9$20.53
PSA 9$19.49
CGC 10$18.70
TAG 9$16.67
PSA 6$15.50
CGC 9.5$15.50
BGS 9$14.71
PSA 8$12.99
CGC 9$11.90
BGS 9.5$10.24
PSA 4$10.09
PSA 7$8.16
CGC 8.5$8.00
AGS 9.5$6.00
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